Topic: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Robert’s 2010 Oscar Predictions (9/21/09)[ROUND TWO]:

Best Picture:
               Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
               Nine (Rob Marshall)
               Avatar (James Cameron)
               The Tree of Life (Terrance Malick)
               The Hurt Locker (Kathryn Bigelow)
               Up (Peter Doctor and Bob Peterson)
               The Lovely Bones (Peter Jackson)
               An Education (Lone Scherfig)
               Invictus (Clint Eastwood)
               A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Cohen)
Best Director:
               Terrance Malick
               Quentin Tarantino
               Clint Eastwood
               James Cameron
               Peter Jackson
Best Actor:
               Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine)
               Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
               Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)
               Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)
               Javier Bardem (Biuitiful)
Best Actress:
               Hilary Swank (Amelia)
               Carey Mulligan (An Education)
               Michelle Pfieffer (Cheri)
               Natalie Portman (Brothers)
               Melanie Laurent (Inglourious Basterds)
Best Supporting Actor:
               Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)
               Matt Damon (Invictus)
               Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones)
               Ewan McGregor (Amelia)
               Djimon Hounsou (The Tempest)
Best Supporting Actress:
               Judi Dench (Nine)
               Marion Cotillard (Nine)
               MoNique (Precious)
               Penelope Cruz (Nine)
               Rachel Weisz (The Lovely Bones)
Best Foreign Film:
                The White Ribbon (Michael Haneke)
                Polytechnique (Denis Villeneuve)
                Korea, Mother (Bong Joon-Ho)
                Enter the Void (Gaspar Noe)
                Let the Right One In (Tomas Alferdson)
Best Adapted Screenplay:
                The Lovely Bones (Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh and Philippa Boyens)
                Invictus (Anthony Peckham)
                An Education (Nick Hornby)
                The Informant! (Scott Z. Burns)
                Nine (Michael Tolkin and Anthony Minghella)     
Best Original Screenplay:
                Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
                A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Cohen)
                (500) Days of Summer (Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber)
                Trash Humpers (Harmony Korine)
                Tetro (Francis Ford Coppola)
                Moon (Nathan Parker)
Best Animated Film:
                Ponyo on The Cliff (Hayao Miyazaki)
                The Fantastic Mr. Fox (Wes Anderson)
                A Christmas Carol (Robert Zemeckis)
                Coraline (Henry Selick)
                Up (Peter Doctor and Bob Peterson)
                9 (Shane Acker)
Best Cinematography:
                Dion Beebe (Nine)
                Roger Deakins (A Serious Man)
                Mauro Fiore (Avatar)
                Robert Richardson (Inglourious Basterds)
                Dante Spinotti (Public Enemies)
                Robert Elswit (Men Who Stare at Goats)

**Quick Note; I feel the way about Lee Daniels’ Precious as I did about Slumdog. It isn’t that good of a movie and if it wins a bunch of shit because of undeserved buzz or the fact Oprah is backing the movie I’m going to be fucking furious. There is a plethora of films that deserve to win this year so fuck giving it to the overhyped film or the we feel sorry so here film… Oscars get back to the good old days of the late sixty’s and seventy’s (Midnight Cowboy, Patton, French Connection, The Godfather, One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest, Rocky, Annie Hall, The Deer Hunter, etc.).

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Some good predictions man.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I hope D9 gets nominated for something!

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I hope orphan wins something those kids were amazing

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Some are def long shots at this point like:
Nathan Parker's screenplay for Moon
Harmony Korine's screenplay for Trash Humpers
Gaspar Noe's Enter The Void for foreign film
and will the academy accept Tomas Alferdson's Let the Right One In eligble for the 2009 film list?

It's a fair list though. Look at last nights Emmys. They can reconize a show about meth so why can't the Academy start to reconize Harmony Korine and Gaspar Noe work??

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I hope Noe gets a nod, definitely!

I'd love to see Sharlto Copeley up for Best Actor for District 9, I thought he was incredible, esepcially considering he ad-libbed most of his lines! And I would freakin' love to see Isabelle Fuhrman get nominated for Orphan, haha, doubt the Academy will though!

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Interesting predications. However I feel that UP has the Oscar in the bag right now for Best Animated Feature.  Its pretty much a given that Pixar will take home the gold nowadays.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

D9 prob will get noms for:
VFX, SFX, Sound Editing, Editing and maybe they will sneak in a Cinematography and Original Screenplay nom but I doubt the lader.

Orphan I don't see happening smile But would be a cool change of pace.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

thegoldensimatar wrote:

Interesting predications. However I feel that UP has the Oscar in the bag right now for Best Animated Feature.  Its pretty much a given that Pixar will take home the gold nowadays.

My list isn't in order of who I think will win, just a prediction list.
As for Up, The Oscars have upped the nomination list for Best Picture to 10 this year. Which means Up has a great chance to be nominated for Best Picture. If this happens It prob wont be in the animated category. Thats why Up is in both categories. If it is in Animated it is hands down the winner. The other films don't even have a chance next to Up.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I'd like to see Moon get a nod for Screenplay as well robertthunder. 

I'd like to see John Malkovich and the movie Disgrace get some sort of recognition. 

And while it probably wont, i think Bobcat Goldthwait's film World's Greatest Dad was quite excellent and deserves some notoriety.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I think that if Up gets nominated for best picture, then it should also be in the best animated category as well.  Why would something considered being one of the ten best films of the year not be allowed to be in the animated category as a result?  You can't just say, oh your film was too good to put in the animated category so we aren't nominating you and are giving it to another film, sorry. 

If it gets a best picture nod then it is clearly the one of if not the best animated film and I think that indeed it needs to get noms in both categories.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I predict that no horror movies or comedies will win win Best Picture.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I loved Inglorious Basterds. I hope that film gets lots of awards.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Beauty and the Beast was the last animated film in the Best Picture category and I think that's rubbish.  I am an undying fan of Pixar films and do believe they are better than most the shit out there.  That said, Up deserves it. 

I hope that Let The Right One In qualifies.  I know it's not really new, but it deserves some recognition before it's ruined with its remake.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

sMart wrote:

I predict that no horror movies or comedies will win win Best Picture.

Well:
1934- It Happened One Night (Comedy)
1938- You Can't Take It With You (Comedy)
1940- Rebecca (Suspense/Thriller)
1944- Going My Way (Comedy)
1963- Tom Jones (Comedy)
1973- The Sting (Comedy)
1977- Annie Hall (Comedy)
1991- The Silence of the Lambs (Horror)
1999- American Beauty (Comedy)


So It has happened and It will happen again.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

My prediction still stands.  And in addition I'd like to add that a Science Fiction movie will  not be winning Best Picture either, at least not anytime soon.   

In addition, I could argue that some of those films don't belong in those categories. 

I'll use one example in brief:  Silence Of The Lambs.  That film was sold to the mainstream audience as a thriller, and the Academy reflects those mainstream sensibilities.  If the film had been sold as a horror movie I doubt it would have won that Oscar, as there is a stigma associated with horror in the minds of Academy voters.  Production companies are always quick to brand a film a thriller for just this reason. 

You've given me just 9 examples over the course of 80+ years of the awards history, yet looking at many of those examples, I question whether they belong in that category in the first place, and for the most part if they do, they've certainly transcended those labels.

I also doubt that Avatar is going to be nominated for Best Picture either.  I agree with jmh314 on this one.  It may win for something technical.

So of course it could happen.  Perhaps even in my lifetime.  But I could also be driving a flying car that transforms itself into a briefcase as well.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I'll admit I have no proof but i believe it's all politics.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Gardenofstone10 wrote:

I hope that Let The Right One In qualifies.  I know it's not really new, but it deserves some recognition before it's ruined with its remake.

LTROI does not have any qualification for this years Oscars.  It would have had to been chosen last year as it's main release was way before the Oscars happened (it was  a fall 2008 release).  If I recall, it could have been nominated for best foreign film last year but I dont think Sweden even submitted it for consideration.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

James Cameron for Avatar for best picture. Hes been making that movie for the last 3 years it seems and went over budget a few times. I saw the review and it looked decent, But can never tell if it will be good from the preview. Whens Jim Carrey going to win an Oscar, hes the most deserving sad

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Robert’s 2010 Oscar Predictions (10/24/09)[ROUND THREE]:

Best Picture:
               Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
               Nine (Rob Marshall)
               Avatar (James Cameron)
               Up In The Air (Jason Reitman)
               The Hurt Locker (Kathryn Bigelow)
               Up (Peter Doctor and Bob Peterson)
               The Lovely Bones (Peter Jackson)
               An Education (Lone Scherfig)
               Invictus (Clint Eastwood)
               A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Cohen)
Best Director:
               Rob Marshall
               Quentin Tarantino
               Clint Eastwood
               James Cameron
               Peter Jackson
Best Actor:
               Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine)
               Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
               Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)
               George Clooney (Up In The Air)
               Javier Bardem (Biuitiful)
Best Actress:
               Hilary Swank (Amelia)
               Carey Mulligan (An Education)
               Michelle Pfieffer (Cheri)
               Natalie Portman (Brothers)
               Melanie Laurent (Inglourious Basterds)
Best Supporting Actor:
               Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)
               Matt Damon (Invictus)
               Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones)
               Ewan McGregor (Amelia)
               Djimon Hounsou (The Tempest)
Best Supporting Actress:
               Judi Dench (Nine)
               Marion Cotillard (Nine)
               MoNique (Precious)
               Penelope Cruz (Nine)
               Rachel Weisz (The Lovely Bones)
Best Foreign Film:
                The White Ribbon (Michael Haneke)
                Polytechnique (Denis Villeneuve)
                Korea, Mother (Bong Joon-Ho)
                Enter the Void (Gaspar Noe)
                A Prophet (Jacques Audiard)
Best Adapted Screenplay:
                The Lovely Bones (Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh and Philippa Boyens)
                Invictus (Anthony Peckham)
                An Education (Nick Hornby)
                The Informant! (Scott Z. Burns)
                Nine (Michael Tolkin and Anthony Minghella)     
Best Original Screenplay:
                Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
                A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Cohen)
                (500) Days of Summer (Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber
                Tetro (Francis Ford Coppola)
                Moon (Nathan Parker)
Best Animated Film:
                Ponyo on The Cliff (Hayao Miyazaki)
                The Fantastic Mr. Fox (Wes Anderson)
                A Christmas Carol (Robert Zemeckis)
                Coraline (Henry Selick)
                Up (Peter Doctor and Bob Peterson)
                9 (Shane Acker)
Best Cinematography:
                Dion Beebe (Nine)
                Roger Deakins (A Serious Man)
                Mauro Fiore (Avatar)
                Robert Richardson (Inglourious Basterds)
                Dante Spinotti (Public Enemies)
                Robert Elswit (Men Who Stare at Goats)

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Robert’s 2010 Oscar Predictions (11/18/09)[ROUND FOUR]:

Best Picture:
               Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
               Nine (Rob Marshall)
               Avatar (James Cameron)
               Up In The Air (Jason Reitman)
               The Hurt Locker (Kathryn Bigelow)
               Up (Peter Doctor and Bob Peterson)
               The Lovely Bones (Peter Jackson)
               An Education (Lone Scherfig)
               Invictus (Clint Eastwood)
               A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Cohen)
Best Director:
               Rob Marshall
               Quentin Tarantino
               Clint Eastwood
               James Cameron
               Peter Jackson
Best Actor:
               Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine)
               Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
               Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)
               George Clooney (Up In The Air)
               Nicolas Cage (Bad Lieutenant: Port of New Orleans)
Best Actress:
               Hilary Swank (Amelia)
               Carey Mulligan (An Education)
               Michelle Pfieffer (Cheri)
               Natalie Portman (Brothers)
               Melanie Laurent (Inglourious Basterds)
Best Supporting Actor:
               Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)
               Matt Damon (Invictus)
               Christopher Plummer (The Last Station)
               Alec Baldwin (It’s Complicated)
               Alfred Molina (An Education)
Best Supporting Actress:
               Judi Dench (Nine)
               Marion Cotillard (Nine)
               MoNique (Precious)
               Penelope Cruz (Nine)
               Rachel Weisz (The Lovely Bones)
Best Foreign Film:
                The White Ribbon (Michael Haneke) {GERMANY}
                I Killed My Mother (Xavier Dolan) {CANADA}
                Mother (Bong Joon-Ho) {KOREA}
                Forever Enthralled (Chen Kaige) {CHINA}
                A Prophet (Jacques Audiard) {FRANCE}
Best Adapted Screenplay:
                The Lovely Bones (Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh and Philippa Boyens)
                Invictus (Anthony Peckham)
                An Education (Nick Hornby)
                The Informant! (Scott Z. Burns)
                Nine (Michael Tolkin and Anthony Minghella)     
Best Original Screenplay:
                Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
                A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Cohen)
                (500) Days of Summer (Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber)
                Tetro (Francis Ford Coppola)
                Moon (Nathan Parker)
Best Animated Film:
                Ponyo on The Cliff (Hayao Miyazaki)
                The Fantastic Mr. Fox (Wes Anderson)
                A Christmas Carol (Robert Zemeckis)
                Coraline (Henry Selick)
                Up (Peter Doctor and Bob Peterson)
Best Cinematography:
                Dion Beebe (Nine)
                Roger Deakins (A Serious Man)
                Mauro Fiore (Avatar)
                Robert Richardson (Inglourious Basterds)
                Dante Spinotti (Public Enemies)
                Robert Elswit (Men Who Stare at Goats)
Best Documentary:
                Food, Inc
                Valentino the Last Emperor
                Soundtrack for a Revolution
                Facing Ali
                Which Way Home

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

What proves it's a popularity contest and not based on the merit of the film itself is that movies like Avatar are nominated and haven't even been released yet.  What a fucking joke.  This is why I dislike the Academy Awards.

Personally, I hope The Hurt Locker takes Best Film, because it's been so long since a truly GREAT film has won it.

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

Robert’s 2010 Oscar Predictions (12/15/09)[ROUND FIVE]:

Best Picture:
               Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
               Nine (Rob Marshall)
               Avatar (James Cameron)
               Up In the Air (Jason Reitman)
               The Hurt Locker (Kathryn Bigelow)
               Up (Peter Doctor and Bob Peterson)
               (500) Days of Summer (Marc Webb)
               An Education (Lone Scherfig)
               Invictus (Clint Eastwood)
               A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Cohen)
Best Director:
               Rob Marshall
               Quentin Tarantino
               Clint Eastwood
               James Cameron
               Lone Scherfig
Best Actor:
               Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine)
               Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
               Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)
               George Clooney (Up In the Air)
               Colin Firth (A Single Man)
Best Actress:
               Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side)
               Carey Mulligan (An Education)
               Marion Cotillard (Nine)
               Natalie Portman (Brothers)
               Melanie Laurent (Inglourious Basterds)
Best Supporting Actor:
               Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)
               Matt Damon (Invictus)
               Christopher Plummer (The Last Station)
               Alec Baldwin (It’s Complicated)
               Alfred Molina (An Education)
Best Supporting Actress:
               Judi Dench (Nine)
               Julianne Moore (A Single Man)
               MoNique (Precious)
               Penelope Cruz (Nine)
               Vera Farmiga (Up In the Air)
Best Foreign Film:
               The White Ribbon (Michael Haneke) {GERMANY}
               I Killed My Mother (Xavier Dolan) {CANADA}
               Mother (Bong Joon-Ho) {KOREA}
               Forever Enthralled (Chen Kaige) {CHINA}
               A Prophet (Jacques Audiard) {FRANCE}
Best Adapted Screenplay:
               Up In the Air (Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner)
               Invictus (Anthony Peckham)               
               An Education (Nick Hornby)
               Where the Wild Things Are (Spike Jonze and Dave Eggers)
               Nine (Michael Tolkin and Anthony Minghella)     
Best Original Screenplay:
               Inglourious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino)
               A Serious Man (Joel and Ethan Cohen)
               (500) Days of Summer (Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber)
               The Hurt Locker (Mark Boal)
               Moon (Nathan Parker)
Best Animated Film:
               Ponyo on the Cliff (Hayao Miyazaki)
               The Fantastic Mr. Fox (Wes Anderson)
               Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs (Phil Lord and Chris Miller)
               Coraline (Henry Selick)
               Up (Peter Doctor and Bob Peterson)
Best Cinamatography:
               Dion Beebe (Nine)
               Eduard Grau (A Single Man)
               Mauro Fiore (Avatar)
               Robert Richardson (Inglourious Basterds)
               Dante Spinotti (Public Enemies)
Best Documentary:
               Food, Inc
               Valentino the Last Emperor
               Soundtrack for a Revolution
               Facing Ali
               Which Way Home
Best Original Song:
               â€œCinema Italiano"  (Maury Yeston for Nine)
               â€œWinter"  (Bono for Brothers)
               â€œI Will See You"  (James Horner and Simon Franglen for Avatar)
               â€œ(I Want To) Come Home"  (Paul McCartney for Everybody’s Fine)
               â€œThe Weary Kind"  (T-Bone Burnett and Ryan Bingham for Crazy Heart)
Best Original Score:
                A Single Man (Abel Korzeniowski)
                Where the Wild Things Are (Carter Burwell and Karen Orzolek)
                Avatar (James Horner)
                Up (Michael Giacchino)
                Public Enemies (Elliot Goldenthal)
Best Visual Effects:
                Avatar
                District 9
                Star Trek
                2012
                Where the Wild Things Are

Last edited by robertthunder (2009-12-15 16:44:33)

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

I agree with jmh and robert, I would love to see Moon win an award. In terms of visuals it was beautiful but just the story alone was captive. That movie really wowed me when I've not had any other film do that this year, it would be lovely for it to win an award but it probably won't, but will keep hoping smile

Re: 2010 Oscar Predictions

LoudLon wrote:

What proves it's a popularity contest and not based on the merit of the film itself is that movies like Avatar are nominated and haven't even been released yet.  What a fucking joke.  This is why I dislike the Academy Awards.

Personally, I hope The Hurt Locker takes Best Film, because it's been so long since a truly GREAT film has won it.

Avatar will be out by the time the actual nominations are announced. These are just predictions. I do think this film has been so massively hyped even by me that it prob wont live up to my expectations; but I won't know that till 12:01am when I'm in the IMAX and seeing it on Thursday late night/Friday early morn. I haven't picked winners yet, just noms; Friday at 6:17pm I will have seen all films that will be nominated (Unless there is so way out there pic that no-one expects). Round Six could be massively different than this round five.

Hurt Locker was a wonderfull film, But so was Inglourious Basterds and Nine and (500) Days of Summer deserves some cred too. And all of us have yet to see if Avatar will live up to the hype.